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Quarterly - ASX:RMS

Ramelius FY26 gold output 192,182 oz within guidance; June quarter 53,466 oz, AISC still to come

Ramelius says it produced 53,466 oz of gold in the June 2026 quarter, up 40% on the March quarter, taking FY26 output to 192,182 oz, inside its 185,000-205,000 oz guidance. Underlying free cash flow was A$138.3m before dividends, buybacks and tax, and the cash and gold balance was A$649.6m at 30 June. AISC, the full cost picture and the detailed cash position are still to come in the full Quarterly Report due 29 July 2026.

(price sensitive) - Ramelius Resources announced: "2026 June Quarter Update" (3 pages) - read the original

DisclosureCleanagainst the ASX's focus areas
Day-1 reaction-1.0%+1.4% vs the XGD
Gold on the dayA$5,978US$4,157/oz

What investors must know

  1. FY26 gold production of 192,182 oz is within the 185,000-205,000 oz guidance range, the sixth consecutive year the company has met guidance.
  2. June quarter output of 53,466 oz was up 40% on the March quarter as Dalgaranga haulage ramped up.
  3. Underlying free cash flow for the quarter was A$138.3m, before a A$54.1m dividend, A$30.5m of buybacks and A$15.6m of tax instalments.
  4. The A$649.6m cash and gold balance at 30 June 2026 is reported as one combined figure, so the cash portion is not shown separately.
  5. A A$131m Spartan acquisition stamp duty payment falls due in July 2026, after quarter end, and will reduce the cash balance.
  6. AISC has not been reported yet and will come in the full Quarterly Report due 29 July 2026, so the margin cannot be judged from this release.

Money: can they follow it up?

Period ending
2026-06-30
Gold produced
53,466 oz
Guidance
FY26 production guidance of 185,000-205,000 oz was achieved, with 192,182 oz produced, the sixth consecutive year of meeting guidance. AISC is to be finalised and reported in the full Quarterly Report. No cost guidance is restated in this release.

All figures A$. gold_oz is the June quarter figure (53,466 oz produced); the FY26 total is 192,182 oz. Underlying free cash flow of A$138.3m is the company's own measure, including growth capital and exploration, and is shown before the dividend (A$54.1m), buybacks (A$30.5m) and tax instalments (A$15.6m). It is not operating cash flow. The A$649.6m cash and gold balance at 30 June 2026 is combined and not split, so cash_aud_m is left blank. This preliminary update has no Appendix 5B, so burn, funding quarters, debt and undrawn facilities are not stated. The A$131m Spartan stamp duty is due in July 2026, after quarter end. Cumulative buybacks are A$140.7m under a A$250m program. The full Quarterly Report due 29 July 2026 should provide the Appendix 5B and AISC.

Appendix 5B explained - why runway predicts raisings - every company's runway

How the price reacted

The result against the marketStrong result - the market shrugged

News signal positive, and on day 1 the stock moved +1.4% against the gold index (XGD). After 20 trading days: +6.6% against the XGD.

Every result vs its reaction

From the last close before the market could trade on it ($2.99 on 7 Jul 2026), with day-1 volume 0.8x the 20-day average.

Day 1-1.0%+1.4% vs the XGD
Day 5+0.3%+2.6% vs the XGD
Day 20+5.0%

RMS's past price-sensitive news

After 9 earlier announcements, RMS rose on day 1 6 times and fell 3 times - an average move of +1.4%; after quarterlies alone, +0.4%.

DrillScore holds no earlier price reactions for Ramelius, so there is no stock-specific pattern to compare. The share price closed at A$2.99 on 7 July and was A$3.68 at the time of this analysis. Over the same period the sector indices moved strongly (XGD up 14.7%, GDX up 7.8%), so the price change cannot be attributed to this release alone.

Past reactions describe what happened, not what will. How prices react to results

The historical pattern

What share prices did after past results like this one, from DrillScore's own records. It describes the past: it isn't a forecast for RMS and it isn't advice.

News like thisPositive news Leaned up

After 41 other announcements read as 'positive', stocks moved +1.8% by day 1, +2.3% by day 5 and +0.9% by day 20 against the XGD on average.

Day 1
+1.8%
Day 5
+2.3%
Day 20
+0.9%
41 results, against the XGD
RMS's own record2 earlier announcements Too few to say

Only 2 of RMS's earlier announcements have traded - too few to show a pattern.

The market it landed inXGD +3.3% in 20 days Leaned up

In the 20 trading days before this release the XGD gold index moved +3.3% (rising). After 38 past gold announcements released into a rising gold index, stocks moved +1.9% by day 1, +2.5% by day 5 and -4.7% by day 20 on average - before taking the market's own move out.

Day 1
+1.9%
Day 5
+2.5%
Day 20
-4.7%
38 results, raw moves

A strand leans up or down when its day-5 average is 1% or more either way. Each is shown on its own and never added up into a prediction: small samples swing, and every result is different. The full backtest - how it's worked out

The market it landed in

MarketOn the dayNowSince
Gold (US$/oz)US$4,157US$3,886-6.5%
Gold (A$/oz)A$5,978A$5,737-4.0%
Copper (US$/lb)US$6.17US$6.09-1.3%
AUD/USD0.69550.6774-2.6%

At release on 7 July, gold was US$4,157 per oz (A$5,978). Now it is US$3,886 (A$5,737), down about 4% in A$ terms, so revenue per ounce is lower than at release. This release gives no AISC or price deck, so the margin cannot be measured against spot. The Australian dollar has eased from US$0.6955 to US$0.6774, which cushions A$ gold prices. Crude oil is up 25.7% since release to US$88.56/bbl, a cost pressure for diesel-reliant mining, although the company says its Mt Magnet fuel is on a long-term contract. The US 10-year yield (5.154%, up 0.63 points) and a firmer US dollar index (103.41) are headwinds for gold. Sector mood has improved since release: the ASX All Ordinaries Gold index is up 14.7% and GDX is up 7.8%, while GDXJ is roughly flat and COPX is down 7.2%.

Against RMS's own history

DrillScore holds no earlier intercepts, cash readings or capital raisings for Ramelius, so the cash and production figures cannot be compared with prior reports. The last analysed announcement was the 29 June 2026 Edna May sale (mixed, DrillScore 50). This update shows the sale was reshaped on 1 July, with cash rising from A$200m to A$210m and FRS shares falling from A$100m to A$90m. Production within guidance continues the company's record, which it cites as six consecutive years.

Risks & caveats

  • No AISC is given, so cost performance and margin against guidance cannot be assessed from this update.
  • The high-grade stockpile grades quoted (25kt at 4.35g/t and 5kt at 5.78g/t) are not yet reconciled, and metallurgical recoveries are still to follow.
  • The A$131m stamp duty due in July 2026 is not reflected in the 30 June cash and gold balance.
  • The Edna May sale to Forrestania is not complete and its consideration was already changed on 1 July 2026, from A$200m cash and A$100m shares to A$210m cash and A$90m shares.
  • The company says Mt Magnet is unaffected by diesel supply disruptions, but oil prices have risen sharply since the release, which is a cost risk to watch.

What's next

  • Full June 2026 Quarterly Activities Report, including AISC and the Appendix 5B - 29 July 2026
  • Separate exploration update - later in July 2026
  • Completion of the Edna May hub sale to Forrestania Resources - September 2026 Quarter
  • Break of Day (Cue) cutback accessing higher-grade ore zones - from September 2026 Quarter
  • Mt Magnet Circuit 1 major site works and Circuit 2 EPC award and mobilisation - September 2026 Quarter
  • Reconciled grades and metallurgical recoveries for Dalgaranga - not stated (said to follow shortly)

Questions worth asking

  • What is the FY26 AISC and the June quarter AISC, and how do they compare with the cost guidance?
  • What reconciled grades and metallurgical recoveries sit behind the 4.35g/t Never Never and 5.78g/t Penny stockpiles?
  • How much of the A$649.6m is cash and how much is gold, and what is the net cash after the A$131m stamp duty?
  • What conditions remain for the Edna May sale to Forrestania, and how is the A$90m FRS shareholding valued at completion?
  • How much of the A$250m buyback remains, and how is it balanced against funding for Circuit 2 and the Mt Magnet expansion?

What it means

For someone following Ramelius, this update is mainly an operations and cash check. The company met its FY26 production range and generated underlying free cash flow of A$138.3m in the June quarter, and it still reports a large cash and gold balance. The numbers that matter most for the investment case are not yet in this release: AISC, reconciled Dalgaranga grades, completion of the Edna May sale and the A$131m stamp duty payment. The full Quarterly Report due 29 July is where the cost picture should appear. This is general information, not personal financial advice.

General information only - not financial advice. DrillScore's analyses are produced automatically by an AI model (Claude, by Anthropic) from the company's own ASX announcement and public market data, and scored by a fixed formula (how it works). They can be wrong or incomplete, don't consider your objectives or circumstances, and are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold anything. Always read the original announcement and consider advice from a licensed adviser.

Decoded 15 Nov 2026, 8:17 am by claude-haiku-5-5 - confidence: high. Spotted a mistake? Tell us.

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